Tag: the scope of longtermism
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The scope of longtermism (Part 4: Unawareness)
Today’s post discusses the final scope-limiting factor: unawareness of relevant acts, states and outcomes
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The scope of longtermism (Part 3: Washing out)
Washing out occurs when there is significant cancellation between possible positive and negative consequences of our actions when taking expectations.
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The scope of longtermism (Part 2: Rapid diminution)
Rapid diminution occurs when the probabilities of large long-term impacts diminish more quickly than their sizes increase. Rapid diminution tends to shrink the scope of longtermism.
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The scope of longtermism (Part 1: Introduction)
In this paper and blog series, I suggest that the scope of longtermism may be narrower than many longtermists suppose.