Tag: Singularity hypothesis
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If anyone builds it, everyone dies (Part 4: We would lose)
Yudkowsky and Soares argue that we would lose a conflict with artificial superintelligence
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 21: AI 2027 takeoff forecast)
The AI 2027 takeoff forecast predicts the arrival of superintelligence a year after superhuman coders arrive. I have my doubts.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 19: AI 2027 timelines forecast, time horizon extension)
The AI 2027 report relies on two models of AI timelines. The first timelines model largely bakes hyperbolic growth into the model structure.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 5: Bostrom on the singularity)
This post reviews a series of arguments for the singularity hypothesis due to Nick Bostrom. I argue that they do not succeed.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 4: Chalmers on the singularity)
This post reviews a leading argument for the singularity hypothesis due to David Chalmers. I argue that the argument does not succeed.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 3: Further doubts)
This post gives three further reasons for skepticism about the singularity hypothesis.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 2: Preliminary doubts)
This post gives two preliminary reasons for skepticism about the singularity hypothesis.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 1: Introduction)
The singularity hypothesis holds that the intelligence of artificial agents will grow at a rapidly accelerating rate, producing an intelligence explosion. This post introduces a new paper criticizing the singularity hypothesis.