Tag: Existential risk
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The scope of longtermism (Part 5: A case study – Existential risk)
Many longtermists think that existential risk mitigation escapes the scope-limiting factors. To what extent is this true?
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Papers I learned from (Part 5: Language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe)
Simon Goldstein and Cameron Domenico Kirk-Giannini argue that language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe from artificial intelligence.
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Papers I learned from (Part 4: Why AI systems may not evolve selfishness)
Maarten Boudry and Simon Friederich argue that natural selection may not produce selfish artificial systems
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 17: Biorisk, taking stock)
This post concludes my sub-series on existential biorisk by drawing lessons from the previous discussion
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 16: Biorisk from LLMs, continued)
This post continues my investigation of biorisk from LLMs by looking at a recent redteaming study from the RAND Corporation.
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Papers I learned from (Part 2: Effective altruism, risk, and human extinction)
What effect does risk aversion have on the case for existential risk mitigation? Surprisingly, Richard Pettigrew argues that risk aversion may recommend working to hasten rather than avoid human extinction.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 13: Ord on Biorisk)
Toby Ord suggests that humanity faces a 3% risk of existential catastrophe from biological causes in the next 100 years. I review Ord’s arguments and argue that they are insufficient to ground this estimate.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 12: Millett and Snyder-Beattie on biorisk)
Can existing arguments by effective altruists ground high estimates of existential biorisk? I consider three estimates provided by Piers Millett and Andrew Snyder-Beattie.
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Mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk (Part 5: Implications)
I draw five implications from my discussion of mistakes in the moral mathematics of existential risk.