Tag: Epistemics
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Epistemics (Part 10: The nontrivial probability gambit)
Positing nontrivial probabilities is no substitute for arguing for them.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 22: AI 2027 recap)
This post draws lessons from our discussion of the AI 2027 report.
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Epistemics (Part 9: Ironic authenticity)
Ironically authentic speech may not be direct assertion, but it is hardly mere irony.
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Epistemics (Part 8: Two types of decoupling)
This post distinguishes two types of decoupling: truth decoupling and harm decoupling. Truth decoupling is a fine practice. Harm decoupling is not.
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Epistemics (Part 7: Authority)
At times, effective altruists show strong regard for scientific, scholarly and journalistic authority. But sometimes they do not.
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Epistemics: (Part 6: Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence)
Extraordinary claims requires extraordinary evidence, but that evidence is not always provided. I look at two examples of extraordinary claims based on rather less than extraordinary evidence, then draw lessons from this discussion.
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Epistemics: (Part 5: The value of cost-effectiveness analysis)
The declining role of cost-effectiveness analysis comes with significant practical, symbolic, philosophical, and leadership-based costs. Spelling out these costs in detail will allow us to assess whether they are worth paying.
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Epistemics: (Part 4: The fall of cost-effectiveness analysis)
This post chronicles the declining role of cost-effectiveness analysis within the effective altruism movement. While early effective altruists championed the use of rigorous cost-effectiveness analyses, in many circles those methods have fallen decidedly out of favor.
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Epistemics: (Part 3: Peer review)
What is the role of peer review within effective altruism? What should that role be?