Tag: AI timelines
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 21: AI 2027 takeoff forecast)
The AI 2027 takeoff forecast predicts the arrival of superintelligence a year after superhuman coders arrive. I have my doubts.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 20: AI 2027 timelines forecast, benchmarks and gaps)
The second part of the AI 2027 timelines model relies primarily on insufficiently evidenced forecasts.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 19: AI 2027 timelines forecast, time horizon extension)
The AI 2027 report relies on two models of AI timelines. The first timelines model largely bakes hyperbolic growth into the model structure.
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Exaggerating the risks (Part 18: Introduction to AI 2027)
This post introduces the AI 2027 report.