Category: Academic Papers
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The scope of longtermism (Part 5: A case study – Existential risk)
Many longtermists think that existential risk mitigation escapes the scope-limiting factors. To what extent is this true?
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Papers I learned from (Part 5: Language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe)
Simon Goldstein and Cameron Domenico Kirk-Giannini argue that language agents reduce the risk of existential catastrophe from artificial intelligence.
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The scope of longtermism (Part 4: Unawareness)
Today’s post discusses the final scope-limiting factor: unawareness of relevant acts, states and outcomes
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Papers I learned from (Part 4: Why AI systems may not evolve selfishness)
Maarten Boudry and Simon Friederich argue that natural selection may not produce selfish artificial systems
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The scope of longtermism (Part 3: Washing out)
Washing out occurs when there is significant cancellation between possible positive and negative consequences of our actions when taking expectations.
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The scope of longtermism (Part 2: Rapid diminution)
Rapid diminution occurs when the probabilities of large long-term impacts diminish more quickly than their sizes increase. Rapid diminution tends to shrink the scope of longtermism.
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The scope of longtermism (Part 1: Introduction)
In this paper and blog series, I suggest that the scope of longtermism may be narrower than many longtermists suppose.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 6: Implications)
This post concludes my discussion of the singularity hypothesis by drawing out implications of the previous discussion.
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Against the singularity hypothesis (Part 5: Bostrom on the singularity)
This post reviews a series of arguments for the singularity hypothesis due to Nick Bostrom. I argue that they do not succeed.